Jueves, 27 Julio, 2017

TCI: Previewing The Preakness Stakes

Classic Empire Classic Empire
Montrelle Montesinos | 20 May, 2017, 12:49

Following an impressive win on a sloppy Kentucky Derby track two weeks ago, Always Dreaming will try to capture the second leg of the Triple Crown in the 2017 Preakness Stakes on Saturday evening at Pimlico.

With only a field of 10, the 2-year-old Eclipse champion should get a more favorable opportunity to show his worth in the Preakness.

The Kentucky Derby victor has taken 10 of the past 20 Preakness Stakes, with horses who lost in the Derby winning seven times. Winning the Derby in the mud against a so-so field where the contenders fired blank squibs while the longshots waited too long, and with a ideal trip, doesn't carry much sizzle forward.

Post time for the 2017 Run for the Black-Eyed Susans is set for 6:45 p.m.

Always Dreaming has won his last four races by 23-plus lengths, all on fast tracks except the Derby, and Pimlico is expected to be fast on Saturday. It's always nice to have a horse going for the Triple Crown.

Senior Investment, an Oaklawn allowance victor for trainer Ken McPeek, comes off a nose victory in the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland April 15 after placing sixth in the Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds. This year is somewhat similar, except that I changed my mind about betting Always Dreaming and therefore backed a losing investment at Louisville, a fact of which I'm reminded every time I stick my head out the door of my house. Favorite Bodemeister led the pack for much of the race, only to be run down by Derby rookie Gutierrez in the final furlong for a 1.5-length victory.

13/16 miles, 3-year-olds, 126 pounds. On the other other hand mediocre horses don't win Triple Crowns, history tells us.

"I think we're going into this thinking we have a really good shot to win it". Another is Cloud Computing, who figures to be sitting just off the leaders. I thought they all had to stop.

Kentucky Derby to win by almost three lengths while never seriously threatened by runner-up Lookin At Lee, who drew post nine for the rematch. The second exotic bet will be a trifecta where the bettor picks the top three finishers. I suspect the price on the second-favorite will even tick up a bit higher - to somewhere in the 7-2 to 4-1 range - and that's where the best value is.

Starting from the two-post on Saturday, Cloud Computing has paid out in three career races, all at Aqueduct, including a third-place finish at last month's Wood Memorial.

Will I cast my lot with Classic Empire again or will I hop on the back of the Derby victor? A clean ride in Baltimore and Pimlico could be conquered by Classic Empire.

Also, this other guy named Todd Pletcher, who will be saddling Always Dreaming.

Well, maybe, but at 4-5 and 2-1, respectively, that's awful value.

Conquest Mo Money has been looking good on the course in pre-Preakness warmups, according to the Daily Racing Forum. No other prep race victor broke 1:48. He could be a factor late in the Preakness when he comes from behind.

Among the most interesting new shooters Always Dreaming will face is Conquest Mo Money. Jorge Carreno will be up on Conquest Mo Money on Saturday. The start's going to be important.

At 9.5 furlongs, the Preakness Stakes is the shortest of the Triple Crown events, which often leads to an exciting finish.

Then there is Classic Empire's form cycle. He's taken on everything you could throw at him. I would be really surprised if you don't see Conquest Mo Money up in the picture early.

I like longshot SENIOR INVESTMENT to clunk up and hit the board.